MSR pays its first dividend, still trades at half of Almonty
Corporate Analysis

MSR pays its first dividend, still trades at half of Almonty

Masan High-Tech Materials (MSR) just locked its shareholder record date for a first-ever cash dividend, capping a decade and $700 million of investment in the Núi Pháo tungsten mine. But the real valuation gap with Nasdaq-listed Almonty Industries is roughly 2x, not the 4x that headline comparisons suggest.

Minh Quan·
Fed Hikes Rates, Yet Gold Still Climbs 1.46%
Macro Insights

Fed Hikes Rates, Yet Gold Still Climbs 1.46%

The Fed raised its benchmark rate for the first time in over three years and US stocks fell as expected. But gold still gained 1.46% in the same session, breaking the textbook rate-gold relationship.

Thanh Ha·
Bonds at 11%: Three tests before comparing to 6.3% savings
Risk Watch

Bonds at 11%: Three tests before comparing to 6.3% savings

Viconship just raised VND 500 billion in bonds at 11% a year, nearly double the going savings rate. That gap is the price of credit risk, and there are three tests to read it correctly.

Duc Tri·
Dragon Capital sold PNJ on Jul 16, news broke Jul 22
Risk Watch

Dragon Capital sold PNJ on Jul 16, news broke Jul 22

Dragon Capital sold PNJ shares on July 16, but the market only found out six sessions later, after the stock had already dropped another 13.2%. That reporting lag is the real risk for anyone reading fund disclosures.

Duc Tri·
PHP Auction Flops 68%: Discount Was Paying for Liquidity Risk
Risk Watch

PHP Auction Flops 68%: Discount Was Paying for Liquidity Risk

VietinBank offered Hai Phong Port shares 13% below market price, yet 68% of the block found no buyers. The discount that looked like a bargain was actually the price of exiting a stock almost nobody trades.

Duc Tri·
Rubber Fell 4 Sessions, GVR Stock Still Up Over 4%
Corporate Analysis

Rubber Fell 4 Sessions, GVR Stock Still Up Over 4%

GVR shares jumped more than 4% on the morning of September 16 even as world reference rubber prices fell for four straight sessions. This is not a paradox, it is the result of a company that books revenue on a full-period average selling price, plus a second profit layer from land that runs on a completely different clock than the commodity board.

Minh Quan·
BVBank's VND 3,204bn Call: Real Discount Is Only 7.1%
Market Beat

BVBank's VND 3,204bn Call: Real Discount Is Only 7.1%

BVBank has locked in a rights offering of 320.4 million shares at VND 10,000 each, aiming to raise VND 3,204 billion. The 10.3% discount investors see today shrinks to roughly 7.1% once the reference price adjusts, and this time the rights cannot be resold.

Minh Quan·
US Yield Hits 5%: Curve Shape Differs From 2023
Macro Insights

US Yield Hits 5%: Curve Shape Differs From 2023

The 10-year US Treasury yield touched 5% on September 15, the highest since 2007. The difference from 2023 lies in the curve's shape, and that's what will really decide the cost of Vietnam's dollar borrowing.

Thanh Ha·
Domestic Bonds at 4.5%, Proposed USD Debt at 7%
Macro Insights

Domestic Bonds at 4.5%, Proposed USD Debt at 7%

Vietnam's Ministry of Finance is in talks with investment banks over a rate near 7% a year for a USD-denominated government bond, while the domestic 10-year yield sits around 4.5%. The gap isn't about capital need, it's about Vietnam having been absent from international capital markets for 12 years.

Thanh Ha·
Foreign Investors Bought Banks Before VN-Index Turned
Market Beat

Foreign Investors Bought Banks Before VN-Index Turned

One session before VN-Index bottomed, foreign investors had already loaded up on more than VND 800 billion of bank stocks. When the index reclaimed 1,800 points, that same money kept buying banks while dumping VIC and VHM, two very different stories behind one net-sell number.

Minh Quan·
SSB hits 3-year high, but the fund bought just $9M
Market Beat

SSB hits 3-year high, but the fund bought just $9M

SeABank's market cap added roughly VND 20,000 billion in under a month, while the VanEck Vietnam ETF, the largest passive fund tied to this rally, is set to buy only about VND 240 billion of SSB shares. That gap in scale is the key to reading this rally correctly.

Minh Quan·
Seaprodex: SCIC's Price and the Market Price Measure Different Things
Risk Watch

Seaprodex: SCIC's Price and the Market Price Measure Different Things

SCIC is auctioning Seaprodex at VND 107,400 a share while the stock trades at VND 73,000 on the exchange. That gap isn't a discount: it's two different kinds of price that can't be subtracted from each other.

Duc Tri·