Vietnam's Voluntary Pension Funds: Up 26x, Still No Front Door
Macro Insights

Vietnam's Voluntary Pension Funds: Up 26x, Still No Front Door

Vietnam's voluntary supplementary pension funds grew 26x in four years, yet only 28,500 people have joined, because the channel opens only through employers, not individuals.

Phuong Nam·
Vietnam's 8.3% Real Estate Credit Growth Is Being Misread
Risk Watch

Vietnam's 8.3% Real Estate Credit Growth Is Being Misread

Vietnam's 8.3% real estate credit growth in H1 2026 is widely read as a sign of sweeping credit tightening. But inside that number, industrial-zone lending grew 32.38% while resort lending shrank 4.35%, right as the central bank quietly narrowed its controlled basket for the third time in nine months.

Duc Tri·
GEL's Placement: Debt Rerouted to Gia Binh Airport
Market Beat

GEL's Placement: Debt Rerouted to Gia Binh Airport

GELEX Infrastructure has approved a private placement of 100 million shares, expected to raise VND 2,860 billion to cover debt that was redirected toward the Gia Binh airport project. The company's net debt/EBITDA ratio spiked over the past two quarters.

Duc Tri·
VIC Grabs 32% of Foreign ETF Flows: Math, Not Conviction
Market Beat

VIC Grabs 32% of Foreign ETF Flows: Math, Not Conviction

Of an estimated $2.21 billion in ETF inflows heading to Vietnamese stocks, VIC alone is set to capture around $690 million. It's index arithmetic at work, not a verdict on Vingroup.

Minh Quan·
MSR pays its first dividend, still trades at half of Almonty
Corporate Analysis

MSR pays its first dividend, still trades at half of Almonty

Masan High-Tech Materials (MSR) just locked its shareholder record date for a first-ever cash dividend, capping a decade and $700 million of investment in the Núi Pháo tungsten mine. But the real valuation gap with Nasdaq-listed Almonty Industries is roughly 2x, not the 4x that headline comparisons suggest.

Minh Quan·
Fed Hikes Rates, Yet Gold Still Climbs 1.46%
Macro Insights

Fed Hikes Rates, Yet Gold Still Climbs 1.46%

The Fed raised its benchmark rate for the first time in over three years and US stocks fell as expected. But gold still gained 1.46% in the same session, breaking the textbook rate-gold relationship.

Thanh Ha·
Bonds at 11%: Three tests before comparing to 6.3% savings
Risk Watch

Bonds at 11%: Three tests before comparing to 6.3% savings

Viconship just raised VND 500 billion in bonds at 11% a year, nearly double the going savings rate. That gap is the price of credit risk, and there are three tests to read it correctly.

Duc Tri·
Dragon Capital sold PNJ on Jul 16, news broke Jul 22
Risk Watch

Dragon Capital sold PNJ on Jul 16, news broke Jul 22

Dragon Capital sold PNJ shares on July 16, but the market only found out six sessions later, after the stock had already dropped another 13.2%. That reporting lag is the real risk for anyone reading fund disclosures.

Duc Tri·
PHP Auction Flops 68%: Discount Was Paying for Liquidity Risk
Risk Watch

PHP Auction Flops 68%: Discount Was Paying for Liquidity Risk

VietinBank offered Hai Phong Port shares 13% below market price, yet 68% of the block found no buyers. The discount that looked like a bargain was actually the price of exiting a stock almost nobody trades.

Duc Tri·
Rubber Fell 4 Sessions, GVR Stock Still Up Over 4%
Corporate Analysis

Rubber Fell 4 Sessions, GVR Stock Still Up Over 4%

GVR shares jumped more than 4% on the morning of September 16 even as world reference rubber prices fell for four straight sessions. This is not a paradox, it is the result of a company that books revenue on a full-period average selling price, plus a second profit layer from land that runs on a completely different clock than the commodity board.

Minh Quan·
BVBank's VND 3,204bn Call: Real Discount Is Only 7.1%
Market Beat

BVBank's VND 3,204bn Call: Real Discount Is Only 7.1%

BVBank has locked in a rights offering of 320.4 million shares at VND 10,000 each, aiming to raise VND 3,204 billion. The 10.3% discount investors see today shrinks to roughly 7.1% once the reference price adjusts, and this time the rights cannot be resold.

Minh Quan·
US Yield Hits 5%: Curve Shape Differs From 2023
Macro Insights

US Yield Hits 5%: Curve Shape Differs From 2023

The 10-year US Treasury yield touched 5% on September 15, the highest since 2007. The difference from 2023 lies in the curve's shape, and that's what will really decide the cost of Vietnam's dollar borrowing.

Thanh Ha·