Sabeco's 50% dividend: four criteria for a cash-dividend portfolio
Investor Guide

Sabeco's 50% dividend: four criteria for a cash-dividend portfolio

12-month Big4 deposits minus CPI leave only 1.25 points of real yield for Vietnamese savers. With Sabeco just confirming a 50% face-value cash dividend for 2025, the dividend portfolio is back on the table — but only if you screen with a framework first.

Mai Linh·
Vietnam's crypto framework: 0.1% tax, exchanges in Q3/2026
Macro Insights

Vietnam's crypto framework: 0.1% tax, exchanges in Q3/2026

In seven months, Vietnam stitched together three pieces of crypto-asset regulation: a 5-year pilot, a personal tax of 0.1% (identical to listed equity), and five shortlisted exchange licenses. This is how the government plans to bring 17 million crypto users onto a supervised track.

Phuong Nam·
TCB trades 5,000bn VND of profit a year for safety margin
Corporate Analysis

TCB trades 5,000bn VND of profit a year for safety margin

Techcombank just lifted charter capital to VND 113,738bn — the highest in the system — and reiterated its $20B market cap target. The core question: is the foregone profit enough to win a re-rating from the market?

Minh Quan·
5.9% deposit rate vs 4.65% CPI: real yield down to 1.25 pp
Investor Guide

5.9% deposit rate vs 4.65% CPI: real yield down to 1.25 pp

Household deposits hit a record VND 7.83 quadrillion just as the real-rate spread at Vietnam's Big4 banks compressed to a mere 1.25 percentage points. Six years of Vietnamese saving have closed one full cycle — and today's product menu is far wider than 2020's.

Mai Linh·
Vũ Yên: $1.4B raise vs Hanoi resale market freeze
Macro Insights

Vũ Yên: $1.4B raise vs Hanoi resale market freeze

In the same month, Vingroup's Vũ Yên project was cleared to raise VND 36,000 billion in primary capital while resale apartments on Hanoi's outskirts cut prices by VND 500–700 million and still found no buyers. The bridge between the two pictures: home loan rates of 13–14%/year and a tightened 2026 credit room.

Phuong Nam·
Brent +15.87%, VIX at 18.71: Wall Street is lagging Hormuz
Macro Insights

Brent +15.87%, VIX at 18.71: Wall Street is lagging Hormuz

On the weekend of 24 Apr, two data sets sent opposite signals — Wall Street pushed VIX down to 18.71 while the IEA and Baker Hughes added another 6–24 months to the Hormuz clock. Which gauge is lagging?

Thanh Ha·
Petrolimex's trillion-dong Q1 loss: volatility breaks 30-day inventory
Corporate Analysis

Petrolimex's trillion-dong Q1 loss: volatility breaks 30-day inventory

Petrolimex expects a loss of over VND 1,000 billion from its fuel business in Q1/2026 — even as Brent climbs. The answer lies in the magnitude of daily volatility, not the direction of price. And three structural problems are stacking up on the country's largest fuel distributor.

Minh Quan·
Koreans bought $9B of US stocks while KOSPI hit records
Macro Insights

Koreans bought $9B of US stocks while KOSPI hit records

A 5-percentage-point annual gap between the S&P 500 and KOSPI over 10 years is the long-run frame Vietnamese retail investors can reread before the April 30 holiday.

Thanh Ha·
VN-Index drops 17 points: An allocation frame for the 30/4 break
Market Beat

VN-Index drops 17 points: An allocation frame for the 30/4 break

Friday's 0.91% pullback came with the heaviest foreign net selling in 20 sessions. The decision for next week is not which stocks to own — it is what weight to carry through a 4-day market closure.

Thanh Ha·
Masan's VND 7,900bn Target: MCH Cash Stops at the Parent
Corporate Analysis

Masan's VND 7,900bn Target: MCH Cash Stops at the Parent

Masan's April 24 AGM set a high-case VND 7,900bn 2026 profit target and a third straight year without an MSN dividend. Where does the VND 5,270bn cash from MCH go before reaching parent-level shareholders?

Minh Quan·
Vietnam Brokerage Margin Hits VND 415T, Three Near 200% Cap
Risk Watch

Vietnam Brokerage Margin Hits VND 415T, Three Near 200% Cap

Industry-wide margin debt at Vietnamese brokerages hit a record at the end of Q1/2026, while HCM, MBS and Mirae Asset pushed their margin-to-equity ratios close to the regulatory ceiling. The real question is not how much margin grew, but where the funding came from and who bears the risk.

Minh Quan·
Meta cuts 8,000 jobs, Intel books $5.1B from the same capital flow
Macro Insights

Meta cuts 8,000 jobs, Intel books $5.1B from the same capital flow

Three Big Tech announcements on April 23, 2026 exposed the cross-mechanism of the AI capex cycle — a framework that reads across to Vietnam's listed tech names too.

Thanh Ha·