Borrowing gold from the public: Three risks from the 2008-2012 playbook
Risk Watch

Borrowing gold from the public: Three risks from the 2008-2012 playbook

VGTA has proposed letting firms borrow gold from households and import 50 tonnes a year. Before expecting the SJC premium to collapse to zero, retail investors need to answer three structural questions first.

Duc Tri·
Vietnam's second-home tax proposal: three paths for realty stocks
Macro Insights

Vietnam's second-home tax proposal: three paths for realty stocks

VND 4,541 trillion in real estate credit and a proposed progressive tax on second homes landed on the National Assembly floor on 21 April. The market has already begun pricing in policy risk across three distinct scenarios.

Phuong Nam·
HPG Q1/2026 VND 9,056 bn profit: +52% steel, +170% headline
Corporate Analysis

HPG Q1/2026 VND 9,056 bn profit: +52% steel, +170% headline

Hoa Phat's AGM reports Q1/2026 profit up 170% YoY, but VND 3,800 bn came from a one-off Pho Noi divestment. Unpacking profit quality for 300,000 shareholders.

Minh Quan·
Imports surge 4x faster than exports: A production-cycle signal
Macro Insights

Imports surge 4x faster than exports: A production-cycle signal

The first half of April 2026 saw imports rise 23.6% while exports grew only 5.9%, pushing the trade deficit to USD 4.25 billion. This is a new production-cycle signal, not a red alert — but it reshapes the market's reading frame for the next 4–6 weeks.

Thanh Ha·
Tim Cook hands off Apple after 15 years: +1,933%
Corporate Analysis

Tim Cook hands off Apple after 15 years: +1,933%

On April 20, 2026, Apple announced that Tim Cook will hand the CEO role to John Ternus. Under Cook, AAPL rose 1,933%, nearly 4x the S&P 500. The real lesson isn't about entry points.

Minh Quan·
VN30 hits 2,009: three allocation questions for the week ahead
Market Beat

VN30 hits 2,009: three allocation questions for the week ahead

VN30 closed at 2,009 on 20 April, its first close above 2,000 in seven weeks. But liquidity dropped 9% and foreign investors kept selling, forcing retail investors to revisit allocation questions for the 21-25 April week.

Minh Quan·
Household Business Tax Exemption to VND 1B: Three Things to Prepare
Investor Guide

Household Business Tax Exemption to VND 1B: Three Things to Prepare

The Ministry of Finance proposes lifting the household business tax exemption threshold from VND 500 million to up to VND 1 billion, which could move roughly 90% of Vietnam's 5 million household businesses into the tax-free bracket. Three things to review: who qualifies, e-invoicing obligations, and where to place the freed capital.

Mai Linh·
Vinhomes Targets VND 60tn Profit: Backlog Holds, Cash Unclear
Corporate Analysis

Vinhomes Targets VND 60tn Profit: Backlog Holds, Cash Unclear

One day before its 21 April AGM, Vinhomes lifted its 2026 net-profit target to VND 60tn — the highest ever set by a Vietnamese listed company. A VND 186.4tn backlog underwrites the number, but real cash flow and handover pace are the variables that will decide whether the accounting profit reaches shareholders.

Minh Quan·
VIC hits record, VHM ceiling: 3 scenarios for Apr 21-25
Corporate Analysis

VIC hits record, VHM ceiling: 3 scenarios for Apr 21-25

Session Apr 20 saw domestic flows push VIC to an all-time high of 191,000 VND and VHM locked at ceiling +6.93%. The week of Apr 21-25 — with Vingroup AGM on Apr 22 — is the real test for domestic liquidity.

Minh Quan·
HPG: VND 2,600B downstream move ahead of Apr 21 AGM
Corporate Analysis

HPG: VND 2,600B downstream move ahead of Apr 21 AGM

Three days before its annual shareholders meeting, Hoa Phat inaugurated a VND 2,600 billion steel pipe plant in Tay Ninh — lifting pipe capacity to 1.2 million tons per year and completing its value chain ahead of Dung Quat 2.

Minh Quan·
4.06% Bond Yield: Three Mechanisms Repricing Retail
Macro Insights

4.06% Bond Yield: Three Mechanisms Repricing Retail

The 4.06% average yield from Vietnam's Q1 2026 government bond auctions is the hidden discount rate behind deposits, bond funds, and equity valuations. When primary yields rise 0.8 percentage points in a year, all three retail investment channels reprice in sync.

Thanh Ha·
Gold -13% from $5,600 peak: WGC's four 2026 scenarios
Macro Insights

Gold -13% from $5,600 peak: WGC's four 2026 scenarios

After nearly doubling in 2025, global gold has pulled back 13% from its January peak. The World Gold Council lays out four scenarios for the rest of the year, with two upside paths holding the highest probability.

Thanh Ha·