PHP Auction Flops 68%: Discount Was Paying for Liquidity Risk
Risk Watch

PHP Auction Flops 68%: Discount Was Paying for Liquidity Risk

VietinBank offered Hai Phong Port shares 13% below market price, yet 68% of the block found no buyers. The discount that looked like a bargain was actually the price of exiting a stock almost nobody trades.

Duc Tri·
Rubber Fell 4 Sessions, GVR Stock Still Up Over 4%
Corporate Analysis

Rubber Fell 4 Sessions, GVR Stock Still Up Over 4%

GVR shares jumped more than 4% on the morning of September 16 even as world reference rubber prices fell for four straight sessions. This is not a paradox, it is the result of a company that books revenue on a full-period average selling price, plus a second profit layer from land that runs on a completely different clock than the commodity board.

Minh Quan·
BVBank's VND 3,204bn Call: Real Discount Is Only 7.1%
Market Beat

BVBank's VND 3,204bn Call: Real Discount Is Only 7.1%

BVBank has locked in a rights offering of 320.4 million shares at VND 10,000 each, aiming to raise VND 3,204 billion. The 10.3% discount investors see today shrinks to roughly 7.1% once the reference price adjusts, and this time the rights cannot be resold.

Minh Quan·
US Yield Hits 5%: Curve Shape Differs From 2023
Macro Insights

US Yield Hits 5%: Curve Shape Differs From 2023

The 10-year US Treasury yield touched 5% on September 15, the highest since 2007. The difference from 2023 lies in the curve's shape, and that's what will really decide the cost of Vietnam's dollar borrowing.

Thanh Ha·
Domestic Bonds at 4.5%, Proposed USD Debt at 7%
Macro Insights

Domestic Bonds at 4.5%, Proposed USD Debt at 7%

Vietnam's Ministry of Finance is in talks with investment banks over a rate near 7% a year for a USD-denominated government bond, while the domestic 10-year yield sits around 4.5%. The gap isn't about capital need, it's about Vietnam having been absent from international capital markets for 12 years.

Thanh Ha·
Foreign Investors Bought Banks Before VN-Index Turned
Market Beat

Foreign Investors Bought Banks Before VN-Index Turned

One session before VN-Index bottomed, foreign investors had already loaded up on more than VND 800 billion of bank stocks. When the index reclaimed 1,800 points, that same money kept buying banks while dumping VIC and VHM, two very different stories behind one net-sell number.

Minh Quan·
SSB hits 3-year high, but the fund bought just $9M
Market Beat

SSB hits 3-year high, but the fund bought just $9M

SeABank's market cap added roughly VND 20,000 billion in under a month, while the VanEck Vietnam ETF, the largest passive fund tied to this rally, is set to buy only about VND 240 billion of SSB shares. That gap in scale is the key to reading this rally correctly.

Minh Quan·
Seaprodex: SCIC's Price and the Market Price Measure Different Things
Risk Watch

Seaprodex: SCIC's Price and the Market Price Measure Different Things

SCIC is auctioning Seaprodex at VND 107,400 a share while the stock trades at VND 73,000 on the exchange. That gap isn't a discount: it's two different kinds of price that can't be subtracted from each other.

Duc Tri·
US Yield Hits 5%: Saudi Pipeline Fire Needs 5-6 Weeks
Macro Insights

US Yield Hits 5%: Saudi Pipeline Fire Needs 5-6 Weeks

The US 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.014% on September 14 before pulling back, but that retreat is not a cooling signal. A fire on Saudi Arabia's strategic East-West pipeline is the real variable keeping Brent anchored above $100.

Thanh Ha·
Bach Hoa Xanh Hits VND 6.2 Trillion, Per-Store Sales Still Rising
Corporate Analysis

Bach Hoa Xanh Hits VND 6.2 Trillion, Per-Store Sales Still Rising

In August 2026, Bach Hoa Xanh crossed VND 6 trillion in monthly revenue for the first time, partly by opening 234 new stores. But dividing revenue by store count shows average daily sales per store actually rose, instead of getting diluted the way rapid expansion usually does.

Minh Quan·
Overnight Rates Swing Wildly, Savings Rates Only Climb
Macro Insights

Overnight Rates Swing Wildly, Savings Rates Only Climb

Over six weeks, Vietnam's interbank overnight rate went from a record low of 0.7% to a peak of 6.01% and back down to 3.3%, while household deposit rates barely moved. These two prices of money are answering two very different questions.

Thanh Ha·
Three GELEX Stocks Hit Floor, VN-Index Down Just 0.39%
Corporate Analysis

Three GELEX Stocks Hit Floor, VN-Index Down Just 0.39%

GEX, GEE, and GEL all hit limit-down in the same session with no bad news attached. A look at the ownership structure shows why: these are three slices of the same asset, not three separate bets.

Minh Quan·