Container Freight Doubles on Hormuz, Export Stocks Pay the Price
Macro Insights

Container Freight Doubles on Hormuz, Export Stocks Pay the Price

The Hormuz Strait blockade has pushed Vietnam-Europe container rates to $8,200, double pre-crisis levels. TNG lost 14.4% in one week, and even shipping stocks couldn't escape the pressure.

Thanh Ha·
Fuel Stabilization Fund Depleted, VND 8 Trillion Injection Still Not Enough
Risk Watch

Fuel Stabilization Fund Depleted, VND 8 Trillion Injection Still Not Enough

PV Oil's fund is negative VND 1,437 billion, Petrolimex lost 70% of its buffer in just 3 months. With the April 15 tax exemption deadline approaching, what are the three scenarios for fuel prices and the stock market?

Duc Tri·
Fuel Tax Exemption Expires April 15, Prices May Surge 5,000 VND/Liter
Risk Watch

Fuel Tax Exemption Expires April 15, Prices May Surge 5,000 VND/Liter

Vietnam's unprecedented triple fuel tax exemption expires in 11 days. Without an extension, RON95 gasoline could jump to 30,000 VND/liter, creating a cost shock for aviation and logistics stocks.

Duc Tri·
1 Year After US Tariffs: Exports Recover, Stocks Diverge Sharply
Macro Insights

1 Year After US Tariffs: Exports Recover, Stocks Diverge Sharply

One year after the historic 46% tariff shock, Vietnam's exports have largely recovered. But the stock market tells a different story: ANV surged nearly 48%, while TCM lost over 31%.

Thanh Ha·
Lithium Up 141%, VinFast Still Imports 100% of Battery Materials
Macro Insights

Lithium Up 141%, VinFast Still Imports 100% of Battery Materials

Lithium prices have surged from the 2025 bottom while Vietnam remains fully dependent on imports. VinFast targets 300,000 EVs in 2026, but the battery supply chain remains an unsolved equation.

Thanh Ha·
Resolution 18-KL/TW Meets FTSE April 7: Four Stock Groups Set to Benefit
Macro Insights

Resolution 18-KL/TW Meets FTSE April 7: Four Stock Groups Set to Benefit

Resolution 18 simultaneously confirms four major policies, coinciding with FTSE Russell's review on April 7. Analysis of four stock groups directly benefiting from this rare policy convergence.

Phuong Nam·
VCB Issues 1 Billion Bonus Shares, the Race to VND 100 Trillion Begins
Corporate Analysis

VCB Issues 1 Billion Bonus Shares, the Race to VND 100 Trillion Begins

Vietcombank plans to issue over 1 billion bonus shares and establish a subsidiary at VIFC, while VPBank, MB, and VietinBank all target VND 100 trillion in charter capital.

Phuong Nam·
NVL Margin Trading Restored, but Negative Cash Flow of VND 6.1 Trillion Tells the Real Story
Risk Watch

NVL Margin Trading Restored, but Negative Cash Flow of VND 6.1 Trillion Tells the Real Story

Novaland escaped the margin trading blacklist thanks to a profitable 2025 audit report. But behind the headline profit lies record negative cash flow, VND 191 trillion in debt, and significant share dilution risk.

Duc Tri·
Vingroup Targets Record 25,000 Billion VND Profit, Vinhomes Carries the Ecosystem
Corporate Analysis

Vingroup Targets Record 25,000 Billion VND Profit, Vinhomes Carries the Ecosystem

Vingroup unveils a 450,000 billion VND revenue target and 25,000 billion VND profit plan for 2026. The paradox: Vinhomes alone targets 50,000 billion in profit — double the consolidated figure.

Minh Quan·
Gold Loses Nearly 10% in One Week, Worst Decline in 15 Years
Macro Insights

Gold Loses Nearly 10% in One Week, Worst Decline in 15 Years

As the US-Iran conflict escalates, gold plunges instead of rallying. The oil-inflation-Fed domino chain explains this paradox and offers strategic insights for Vietnamese investors.

Thanh Ha·
Asia Sells Off, VN-Index Drops Just 0.48%: Three Forces Holding Vietnam's Market
Macro Insights

Asia Sells Off, VN-Index Drops Just 0.48%: Three Forces Holding Vietnam's Market

While KOSPI plunged 4% and Nikkei fell 3%, Vietnam's benchmark barely moved. Three factors are protecting the market, but logistics stocks are flashing a warning that risks remain unpriced.

Thanh Ha·
27.83% Anti-Circumvention Tariff on Chinese HRC: HPG Benefits, HSG and NKG Under Pressure
Macro Insights

27.83% Anti-Circumvention Tariff on Chinese HRC: HPG Benefits, HSG and NKG Under Pressure

Vietnam's Ministry of Industry and Trade imposes a 27.83% anti-circumvention duty on wide-width HRC steel from China. The policy protects domestic producers like Hoa Phat but raises input cost concerns for Hoa Sen and Nam Kim.

Phuong Nam·