Vietnam Jasmine Rice at a 10-Year High: Three Drivers and the PAN Earnings Trap
Corporate Analysis

Vietnam Jasmine Rice at a 10-Year High: Three Drivers and the PAN Earnings Trap

Vietnam's Jasmine rice just hit its most expensive level in a decade, driven by three converging forces. But PAN Group's 40x profit headline is not the rice story you think it is.

Minh Quan·
Gold Down 14% Amid Iran War Escalation: The Real Mechanism
Macro Insights

Gold Down 14% Amid Iran War Escalation: The Real Mechanism

From $5,275 on Feb 27 to $4,548 on May 15, gold has shed 14% precisely during a period of unrelenting Iran war escalation. The paradox has an explanation. The answer is not on the geopolitics newswire.

Thanh Ha·
HVN: Q1 Record Profit, 50% Pay Cut, Three Brent Scenarios
Corporate Analysis

HVN: Q1 Record Profit, 50% Pay Cut, Three Brent Scenarios

Vietnam Airlines posted a record Q1 profit, then slashed leadership pay by up to 50%. One variable explains both: Brent crude. Three scenarios will decide HVN's second half of 2026.

Minh Quan·
Circular 08 Takes Effect: Big 4 Unlock LDR Room, Stocks Still Fall
Market Beat

Circular 08 Takes Effect: Big 4 Unlock LDR Room, Stocks Still Fall

Vietnam's Circular 08 took effect May 15, widening the LDR denominator for the Big 4 state banks. Yet BID, CTG, and VCB all closed lower on the same day. Why did the market not celebrate?

Minh Quan·
VND 381,000bn Infrastructure Push Splits HCMC Property Stocks
Market Beat

VND 381,000bn Infrastructure Push Splits HCMC Property Stocks

On the same morning of May 15, VHM fell 1.53% while CEO gained 3.47%. The divergence is no coincidence: HCMC's VND 381,000 billion infrastructure pipeline is separating companies with land in the right corridor from those riding the news.

Minh Quan·
Same Peak, Different Engine: KOSPI 8,000 and VN-Index 1,925
Macro Insights

Same Peak, Different Engine: KOSPI 8,000 and VN-Index 1,925

VN-Index and KOSPI both hit all-time highs in the same week, but through completely different mechanisms. Understanding the difference matters far more than counting how many markets are in the green.

Thanh Ha·
Cerebras IPO +68%: The AI Chip Market's Three-Act Transformation
Macro Insights

Cerebras IPO +68%: The AI Chip Market's Three-Act Transformation

On the night of May 14, Cerebras Systems debuted on Nasdaq with a 68.3% first-day gain, valuing the company at roughly $95 billion. The bigger picture: the AI chip market has completed a three-phase journey from near-Nvidia monopoly to genuine multi-competitor structure.

Thanh Ha·
Honda's First Loss Since 1957: Betting on the Wrong EV Timeline
Corporate Analysis

Honda's First Loss Since 1957: Betting on the Wrong EV Timeline

Honda just reported a USD 2.7 billion net loss for fiscal year 2026, its first annual loss in 69 years. The cause was not a market downturn but a capital commitment built on adoption forecasts that reality never matched.

Minh Quan·
VinFast Sells Factories for $530M, Keeps Brand and IP
Corporate Analysis

VinFast Sells Factories for $530M, Keeps Brand and IP

VinFast is divesting its entire manufacturing arm VFTP for $530 million, removing roughly VND 182,000 billion in debt from its balance sheet and pivoting to an asset-light model. Three unanswered variables will determine whether this gamble pays off.

Minh Quan·
VN-Index Hits 1,925 ATH: Oil Leads, Banks and Real Estate Fall
Market Beat

VN-Index Hits 1,925 ATH: Oil Leads, Banks and Real Estate Fall

On May 14, VN-Index set a new all-time high of 1,925.46 points, but the picture beneath the headline was sharply divided: oil stocks surged on Hormuz-driven Brent, while banking and real estate both declined on structural pressures.

Thanh Ha·
EVN Loss Plan: Chemicals, Cement and Steel All Exposed
Market Beat

EVN Loss Plan: Chemicals, Cement and Steel All Exposed

On 14 May, Vietnam's Ministry of Industry and Trade released a draft decree proposing to recover EVN's VND 44,792 billion cumulative loss through future electricity tariff adjustments. Sector impact varies sharply by electricity cost intensity and current gross margins.

Minh Quan·
Trump Meets Xi: Vietnam's Exports Split in Two Directions
Macro Insights

Trump Meets Xi: Vietnam's Exports Split in Two Directions

The S&P 500 hit a record 7,444 points on the evening of May 13, just as Trump landed in Beijing. But not every Vietnamese export stock will benefit through the same mechanism.

Thanh Ha·