MSCI June 2026: 17 of 18 criteria met, forex access still unresolved
Macro Insights

MSCI June 2026: 17 of 18 criteria met, forex access still unresolved

Five weeks from the MSCI annual review, Vietnam ticks 17 of 18 market access criteria. The one sticking point is forex liberalization. Three scenarios are on the table, and each one demands a different portfolio response.

Thanh Hà·
April FOMC Minutes: Fed Leans Toward Hikes, Not Cuts
Macro Insights

April FOMC Minutes: Fed Leans Toward Hikes, Not Cuts

The April 2026 FOMC minutes reveal that a majority of Fed officials see further tightening as appropriate if inflation stays above 2%, upending the rate-cut thesis that many equity investors were counting on.

Thanh Hà·
Three Forces Behind Vietnam's Red Board in a Green Asia
Market Beat

Three Forces Behind Vietnam's Red Board in a Green Asia

On the morning of May 21, VN-Index fell 0.77% to 1,898 points while KOSPI surged 6% and Nikkei 225 added 3.7%. Vietnam is not moving against the world. Three separate internal forces are driving the index, each with its own independent logic.

Minh Quân·
WTI Below $100: Three Things to Re-read Before the May 21 Session
Macro Insights

WTI Below $100: Three Things to Re-read Before the May 21 Session

WTI crude just fell below $100 for the first time since Hormuz was blockaded. The Iran risk premium built into BSR, GAS, and PLX over two months is starting to unwind.

Thanh Hà·
Nvidia $81.6B: AI Profits Concentrate at the Chip Layer
Corporate Analysis

Nvidia $81.6B: AI Profits Concentrate at the Chip Layer

On the same evening of May 20, Nvidia reported record revenue of $81.6 billion while Meta announced 8,000 layoffs. Two stories, one mechanism: AI profits are pooling at the chip infrastructure layer.

Minh Quân·
Vietnam's Fuel Fund Runs Dry: Three Scenarios for May 21
Macro Insights

Vietnam's Fuel Fund Runs Dry: Three Scenarios for May 21

The BOG stabilization fund has barely VND 199.92 billion left as Brent recovers nearly 20% to USD 108/barrel. Wednesday's Ministry announcement will determine whether prices hold, rise, or fall on their own.

Phương Nam·
Q1 Profit Up 38.4%: Four Names Carry Half the Growth
Corporate Analysis

Q1 Profit Up 38.4%: Four Names Carry Half the Growth

Four companies contributed nearly half of the absolute profit increase across Vietnam's listed market in Q1/2026. Strip them out and the rest of the market grew just 15.4%. Both numbers are correct, but they tell entirely different stories.

Minh Quân·
DXG -6.88% on Bluemarq Launch Day: When Good News Is Already in the Price
Corporate Analysis

DXG -6.88% on Bluemarq Launch Day: When Good News Is Already in the Price

Bluemarq Group officially launches, Q1 net profit surges 173%. So why did DXG fall sharply on the same day? Three mechanisms explain the paradox and what investors should watch next.

Minh Quân·
Life Insurance: Third Consecutive Decline, BVH Profit Powered by Interest, Not Insurance
Corporate Analysis

Life Insurance: Third Consecutive Decline, BVH Profit Powered by Interest, Not Insurance

New life insurance policies fell 22.2% and claims surged 20.3% in the first four months of 2026. This marks the third straight year of decline since the bancassurance scandal, and BVH's Q1 profit came entirely from its investment portfolio, not from underwriting.

Minh Quân·
US 30-Year Yield Hits 19-Year High, VN-Index Faces 1,900
Macro Insights

US 30-Year Yield Hits 19-Year High, VN-Index Faces 1,900

The US 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.18% (a 19-year high) on May 19. Wall Street closed in the red, the VN-Index retreated from its all-time high. Three technical signals to watch for the next move.

Thanh Hà·
FPT at a 2-Year Low, Yet Profit Still Up 16%
Corporate Analysis

FPT at a 2-Year Low, Yet Profit Still Up 16%

FPT shares have fallen to their lowest level in more than two years, losing roughly 25% year-to-date, while Q1 profit rose 16.3% and April's new contract bookings hit a record VND 6,143 billion. What is actually driving the near-term price?

Minh Quân·
Banks Pay 8% on Bonds, 5.9% on Deposits: Four Key Differences
Investor Guide

Banks Pay 8% on Bonds, 5.9% on Deposits: Four Key Differences

MB Bank and Agribank are raising VND 25,000 billion in 7-10 year bonds at 8% per year, nearly 2.1 percentage points above their own savings rates. That gap is not unusual. It is the price banks must pay to fill a VND 2 million billion long-term funding gap across the entire system.

Mai Linh·
Brent Still at $110, Vietnam Oil Stocks Down 7%
Market Beat

Brent Still at $110, Vietnam Oil Stocks Down 7%

On May 19, Brent crude fell just 1.58%, yet five major Vietnamese oil and gas stocks all hit their daily limit down. The session exposed a widespread misconception about oil-stock exposure.

Minh Quân·
Vietnam's Third IPO Wave Arrives at the Market Peak: Three Absorption Scenarios
Macro Insights

Vietnam's Third IPO Wave Arrives at the Market Peak: Three Absorption Scenarios

VN-Index just hit an all-time high. The government convened to review divestment at 23 state conglomerates, and LPBS launched a VND 4,256 billion IPO. The question is no longer whether a new IPO wave is coming; it's how the secondary market will absorb it.

Phương Nam·
ACB: Three Foreign Funds Sell, Au Lac Group Lifts Stake to 6%
Corporate Analysis

ACB: Three Foreign Funds Sell, Au Lac Group Lifts Stake to 6%

Three foreign funds have reduced their ACB holdings for three different reasons, while the domestic Au Lac group accumulated a 6% stake. Four decisions, four separate theses: not a single signal to copy.

Minh Quân·