TCB Rallies 8.9%, BNP Paribas Denies Buyout Talk
Risk Watch

TCB Rallies 8.9%, BNP Paribas Denies Buyout Talk

Over two sessions on August 26-27, TCB shares climbed nearly 9% on an M&A rumor first reported by Reuters. More than four hours after the market closed on August 27, BNP Paribas came out to deny any plan to buy a stake.

Duc Tri·
Overnight Rate at 2%, Long-Term Deposits Still Hit 7.8%
Market Beat

Overnight Rate at 2%, Long-Term Deposits Still Hit 7.8%

Banks are lending each other overnight money at just 2% a year, yet Sacombank just raised long-term savings rates to as high as 7.8%. That is not a contradiction, it is what an upward-sloping rate curve looks like when a banking system's funding is structurally short-term.

Thanh Ha·
CKA's 120% Dividend Comes From a Quarry, Not the Factory
Corporate Analysis

CKA's 120% Dividend Comes From a Quarry, Not the Factory

CTCP Cơ khí An Giang (CKA) is about to pay a 120% cash dividend, its highest since listing. Most of the record profit behind it came from a joint-venture quarry, not the company's own machine shop.

Minh Quan·
Masan Consumer CEO buys full stake, MCH still trails VN30
Risk Watch

Masan Consumer CEO buys full stake, MCH still trails VN30

Trương Công Thắng bought exactly the 2.7 million MCH shares he registered, yet the stock rose only 2.16% while VN30 gained 7.98% over the same window. Why a flawless insider purchase doesn't guarantee the stock will rise.

Duc Tri·
Hoa Phat to Draw Double the FTSE Money VCB Gets
Macro Insights

Hoa Phat to Draw Double the FTSE Money VCB Gets

FTSE Russell's Vietnam upgrade takes effect on September 21, 2026, but the passive money is being split in reverse order of market cap: three independent brokers estimate Hoa Phat will receive more than Vietcombank, despite listing at roughly a third of the size.

Thanh Ha·
Nvidia's Profit Jumped 126%. Its Stock Only Rose After a 2028 Promise
Corporate Analysis

Nvidia's Profit Jumped 126%. Its Stock Only Rose After a 2028 Promise

Nvidia reported 106% revenue growth and 126% profit growth, and its stock immediately fell. Less than an hour later, the price reversed to a 4.4% gain, triggered by a number about a fiscal year that hasn't started yet.

Minh Quan·
TNT-SBS Money Loop: A Big Shareholder Filing Isn't a Buy Signal
Risk Watch

TNT-SBS Money Loop: A Big Shareholder Filing Isn't a Buy Signal

TNT hit its ceiling price on barely VND 1.7 billion of turnover, four days after TNT's chairman put VND 75 billion into SBS and SBS bought back 9.61% of TNT. This is a cross-ownership and liquidity story, not a reason to chase the price.

Duc Tri·
Rubber Hits a 13-Year High: It's Supply, Not Demand
Corporate Analysis

Rubber Hits a 13-Year High: It's Supply, Not Demand

Global rubber prices just touched their highest level since 2013, driven by Thai rain and Indonesian farmers abandoning rubber for palm oil, not a demand surge. A closer look at Phuoc Hoa Rubber's (PHR) books shows most of the profit behind its 94% distribution came from land compensation, not from latex.

Minh Quan·
TCB hits ceiling on $2B talk, foreign room short 9.47pp
Corporate Analysis

TCB hits ceiling on $2B talk, foreign room short 9.47pp

Techcombank shares hit the daily ceiling on reports that two foreign banks are negotiating a 15% stake purchase, but the ownership math and implied price show the deal is still far from closing.

Duc Tri·
Bank bond rates cool off, but borrowing volume keeps rising
Macro Insights

Bank bond rates cool off, but borrowing volume keeps rising

Vietnam's average bank bond issuance rate dropped to 8.5% a year in August, yet borrowing volume jumped nearly 56% from July. Bank-by-bank comparison shows most of that decline comes from a shift in who's issuing, not from genuinely cheaper money, and real rates have only eased at the very short end of the curve.

Thanh Ha·
HDBank's 44% Capital Hike: Only a Third Is New Cash
Corporate Analysis

HDBank's 44% Capital Hike: Only a Third Is New Cash

HDBank plans to lift charter capital from VND 50,052 billion to VND 72,069 billion, but more than two-thirds of that increase is simply an internal shift between equity accounts, not fresh money into the bank.

Minh Quan·
Brent Falls Two Sessions, Vietnam Diesel Still Frozen
Macro Insights

Brent Falls Two Sessions, Vietnam Diesel Still Frozen

Brent crude has dropped for two straight sessions to $89/barrel, but Vietnam's retail diesel price is still stuck at the cap set on August 20. The 7-day pricing average explains why tomorrow's adjustment is unlikely to match that.

Mai Linh·