Brent +15.87%, VIX at 18.71: Wall Street is lagging Hormuz
Macro Insights

Brent +15.87%, VIX at 18.71: Wall Street is lagging Hormuz

On the weekend of 24 Apr, two data sets sent opposite signals — Wall Street pushed VIX down to 18.71 while the IEA and Baker Hughes added another 6–24 months to the Hormuz clock. Which gauge is lagging?

Thanh Ha·
Petrolimex's trillion-dong Q1 loss: volatility breaks 30-day inventory
Corporate Analysis

Petrolimex's trillion-dong Q1 loss: volatility breaks 30-day inventory

Petrolimex expects a loss of over VND 1,000 billion from its fuel business in Q1/2026 — even as Brent climbs. The answer lies in the magnitude of daily volatility, not the direction of price. And three structural problems are stacking up on the country's largest fuel distributor.

Minh Quan·
Koreans bought $9B of US stocks while KOSPI hit records
Macro Insights

Koreans bought $9B of US stocks while KOSPI hit records

A 5-percentage-point annual gap between the S&P 500 and KOSPI over 10 years is the long-run frame Vietnamese retail investors can reread before the April 30 holiday.

Thanh Ha·
VN-Index drops 17 points: An allocation frame for the 30/4 break
Market Beat

VN-Index drops 17 points: An allocation frame for the 30/4 break

Friday's 0.91% pullback came with the heaviest foreign net selling in 20 sessions. The decision for next week is not which stocks to own — it is what weight to carry through a 4-day market closure.

Thanh Ha·
Masan's VND 7,900bn Target: MCH Cash Stops at the Parent
Corporate Analysis

Masan's VND 7,900bn Target: MCH Cash Stops at the Parent

Masan's April 24 AGM set a high-case VND 7,900bn 2026 profit target and a third straight year without an MSN dividend. Where does the VND 5,270bn cash from MCH go before reaching parent-level shareholders?

Minh Quan·
Vietnam Brokerage Margin Hits VND 415T, Three Near 200% Cap
Risk Watch

Vietnam Brokerage Margin Hits VND 415T, Three Near 200% Cap

Industry-wide margin debt at Vietnamese brokerages hit a record at the end of Q1/2026, while HCM, MBS and Mirae Asset pushed their margin-to-equity ratios close to the regulatory ceiling. The real question is not how much margin grew, but where the funding came from and who bears the risk.

Minh Quan·
Meta cuts 8,000 jobs, Intel books $5.1B from the same capital flow
Macro Insights

Meta cuts 8,000 jobs, Intel books $5.1B from the same capital flow

Three Big Tech announcements on April 23, 2026 exposed the cross-mechanism of the AI capex cycle — a framework that reads across to Vietnam's listed tech names too.

Thanh Ha·
PC1 locked at floor: When legal risk drags the whole power basket
Risk Watch

PC1 locked at floor: When legal risk drags the whole power basket

On Apr 23, PC1 slammed into the floor limit at -6.95% with over 7.7 million shares stuck at sell queue right as its name resurfaced in a government bond inspection. TV1, TV2, TV3 and EVF fell with it even though none were named — a textbook Vietnamese basket-reflex.

Duc Tri·
Three CEOs refuse to recommend, Doan Nguyen Duc calls for buyers
Investor Guide

Three CEOs refuse to recommend, Doan Nguyen Duc calls for buyers

Over the AGM week of April 17–22, four industry-leading CEOs gave two opposite answers about their own stock. How should retail investors read the governance signal?

Mai Linh·
PNJ's 20% margin: three scenarios as SBV reviews 11 gold licences
Corporate Analysis

PNJ's 20% margin: three scenarios as SBV reviews 11 gold licences

PNJ's AGM approved a 2026 plan for VND 48,660 billion in revenue with a committed 17–20% gross margin. But 20% is a conditional ceiling: three scenarios will decide where the year ends.

Minh Quan·
FPT Q1 PBT hits VND 2.8tn: Three positions in the AI cycle
Corporate Analysis

FPT Q1 PBT hits VND 2.8tn: Three positions in the AI cycle

On April 22, Tesla raised its 2026 capex guide past $25B, Google split its Gen-8 AI chip, and FPT booked quarterly profit of over VND 2.8tn. Same AI cycle, three very different positions — and Vietnamese investors need to read FPT on its own terms, not as a generic 'AI stock'.

Minh Quan·
VND 970tn borrowing plan: three rate pressures for 2026
Macro Insights

VND 970tn borrowing plan: three rate pressures for 2026

The 2026 government borrowing plan is up 19%, but the 31.7% jump in deficit financing is the number worth reading. Three mechanisms keep VND rates flat or drifting up for the rest of the year.

Thanh Ha·